We analyze the NFL week 3 betting lines movement.
Each week, we compere NFL week 3 opening lines to the current lines. We take a look at both the point spread and over/under odds. This week, there has already been a lot of movement.
A lot of NFL handicappers assume betting lines don’t move too much, but that’s not the case.
Opening lines are released early and will often move before kick-off based on public perception, injuries or other late-breaking news that can impact NFL week 3 betting lines.
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NFL Week 3 Betting Trends
Here’s a quick recap on the latest NFL betting trends through two weeks.
Favorites are 16-16 ATS (50.0%). Home teams are 17-15 ATS (53.1%) and home underdogs are 6-5 ATS (54.5%), so we recommend keeping an eye on them this week.
The over has gone 20-12 through the first two weeks of the NFL season. We expect that number to start regressing. If bookies over adjust, betting unders could be profitable the next couple weeks.
Analyzing NFL Week 3 Betting Lines (Opening vs. Current)
We compare the NFL week 3 betting lines to look for the best value in the markets.
Dolphins vs. Jaguars Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Jaguars –1 / Current Line: Jaguars –3
Opening Total: 44 Points / Current Total: 47.5 Points
The Dolphins (0-2 / 1-1 ATS) travel to play the Jaguars (1-1 / 2-0 ATS) on TNF. Miami kept things close against Buffalo – losing by a FG (31-28). With this line up to Jags –3, the Dolphins are a live dog.
Bears vs. Falcons Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Falcons –3 / Current Line: Falcons –3.5
Opening Total: 48 Points / Current Total: 47.5 Points
The Falcons (0-2 / 1-1 ATS) need a win fast or else this season may end up like last season. Chicago (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) are playing good defense and the Falcons defense is a mess. Take the points here.
Bengals vs. Eagles Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Eagles –5.5 / Current Line: Eagles –6
Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 46.5 Points
The Eagles (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) have been a mess to start the season. Wentz has thrown for 512 yards, 2 TDs and 4 INTs through two weeks. Up to this point, the sharps have been betting the over.
Texans vs. Steelers Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Steelers –5.5 / Current Total: Steelers –4
Opening Total: 45 Points / Current Total: 45 Points
Pittsburgh (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) are glad to have Roethlisberger back. He has thrown 5 TDs and only 1 INT. The Texans (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) are missing Hopkins. You likely won’t get better than PIT –4 this week.
Raiders vs. Patriots Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Patriots –5.5 / Current Line: Patriots –6
Opening Total: 46.5 Points / Current Total: 48 Points
Las Vegas (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) won their home opener in Vegas on MNF – defeating the Saints (34-24). NE (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) lost to the Seahawks in week 2, but Newton looks great on the ground (4 rushing TDs).
Rams vs. Bills Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Bills –3 / Current Line: Bills –1.5
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 47.5 Points
The Bills (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) and Josh Allen have looked good. Diggs is coming off a big game as well. This is a tough game, though. The Rams (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) are 4-0 ATS in their last four as a road underdog.
49ers vs. Giants Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: 49ers –7 / Current Line: 49ers –4.5
Opening Total: 42.5 Points / Current Total: 41 Points
The 49ers (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) are the first NFC West team to lose a game in 2020. The Giants (0-2 / 1-1 ATS) just lost Barkley for the season. The Niners are banged up as well. This is a game to avoid.
Titans vs. Vikings Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Vikings –1 / Current Line: Titans –2.5
Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 47.5 Points
The Vikings (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) should be ashamed by their week 2 performance. Cousins threw 3 INTs (4 INTs in 2020) and he only has 2 passing TDs. The Titans (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) will run all over Minny.
Washington vs. Browns Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Browns –6 / Current Line: Browns –7
Opening Total: 45.5 Points / Current Total: 44 Points
Cleveland (1-1 / 0-2 ATS) beat the Bengals (35-30), but failed to cover ATS. Washington (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) lost to Arizona (30-15) in week 2. If this line moves to Washington +7.5, take the points.
Panthers vs. Chargers Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Chargers –6.5 / Current Line: Chargers –6.5
Opening Total: 44 Points / Current Total: 44 Points
This is the only game with no line movement on the spread and total. The Panthers (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) looked bad in week 2, but should the Chargers (1-1 / 2-0 ATS) be favored by close to a TD?
Jets vs. Colts Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Colts –7 / Current Line: Colts –10.5
Opening Total: 45 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
The Colts (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) won in week 2, but is this a let-up spot? The Jets (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) have been bad, so the best bet might be to wait and see if this line dips back below 10 points for the Colts.
Cowboys vs. Seahawks Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Seahawks –3 / Current Line: Seahawks –5
Opening Total: 55 Points / Current Line: 55.5 Points
Since 2017, the Seahawks (2-0 /2-0 ATS) and Cowboys (1-1 / 0-2 ATS) have played each other three times and the Seattle are 3-0 ATS. There’s no big comeback for Dallas fans this week.
Lions vs. Cardinals Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Cardinals –3 / Current Line: Cardinals –5.5
Opening Total: 51 Points / Current Total: 54.5 Points
The home team has always dominated this series. The home team is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 H2H games. The Lions (0-2 / 0-2 ATS) offense won’t keep up with the Cardinals (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) offense.
Buccaneers vs. Broncos Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Buccaneers –3.5 / Current Line: Buccaneers –6
Opening Total: 44.5 Points / Current Total: 43.5 Points
After a shaky week 1 loss, the Buccaneers (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) and Tom Brady won in week 2. The Broncos (0-2 / 2-0 ATS) are winless, but they’ve been getting it done for bettors.
Packers vs. Saints Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Saints –5.5 / Current Line: Saints –3
Opening Total: 51.5 Points / Current Total: 52 Points
When these two teams play, there are typically a lot of points. The last five H2H meetings between the Packers (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) and Saints (1-1 / 1-1 ATS) have gone over the total.
Chiefs vs. Ravens Week 3 Odds Preview
Opening Line: Ravens –2.5 / Current Line: Ravens –3
Opening Total: 52 Points / Current Total: 53.5 Points
A Mahomes vs. Jackson duel will close out NFL week 3 on MNF. The Chiefs (2-0 / 1-1 ATS) needed OT to beat the Chargers in week 2. Baltimore (2-0 / 2-0 ATS) have looked like the better team thus far.