Plum Job: Sparks’ WNBA title odds vault

Sparks’ Title Odds Soar After Blockbuster Kelsey Plum Trade

The Los Angeles Sparks have gone from worst to a legitimate contender—at least in the eyes of oddsmakers—following their blockbuster trade to acquire three-time All-Star Kelsey Plum.

Los Angeles, which finished a league-worst 8-32 last season, saw its 2025 WNBA title odds shrink from +12500 to +3500 at BetMGM after news broke of the trade.

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Blockbuster Trade Details

While the deal won’t be official until Feb. 1, it also sends six-time All-Star Jewell Loyd from Seattle to Las Vegas, replacing Plum in the Aces’ backcourt.

  • Los Angeles receives:
    • Kelsey Plum (from Las Vegas)
    • No. 9 pick in 2025 draft (from Seattle)
    • Seattle’s 2026 second-round pick
  • Seattle receives:
    • No. 2 pick in 2025 draft (from L.A.)
    • Las Vegas’ 2026 first-round pick
    • Li Yueru (from L.A.)
  • Las Vegas receives:
    • Jewell Loyd (from Seattle)
    • No. 13 pick in 2025 draft (from Seattle)

This historic trade is the first in WNBA history to involve multiple No. 1 overall picks, per ESPN.

Updated WNBA Title Odds

TeamOdds
New York Liberty+185
Las Vegas Aces+250
Minnesota Lynx+350
Indiana Fever+900
Connecticut Sun+1100
Los Angeles Sparks+3500
Seattle Storm+4000
Phoenix Mercury+5000
Atlanta Dream+6000
Chicago Sky+6600
Dallas Wings+8000
Washington Mystics+10000
Golden State Valkyries+20000

The Aces’ title odds improved slightly (+280 to +250) after acquiring Loyd, while the Storm fell from +1400 to +4000, signaling a rebuild.

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WNBA MVP Odds

PlayerOdds
A’ja Wilson (LVA)+175
Caitlin Clark (IND)+240
Napheesa Collier (MIN)+650
Breanna Stewart (NYL)+750

Betting Trends

  • The Indiana Fever are the biggest liability for sportsbooks, drawing 44.4% of total bets and 63.3% of the money.
  • The Sparks are now the second-largest liability, attracting 4.1% of the money after their odds shift.
  • The Aces are second behind the Fever in total bets (8.3%) and money (10.2%).

What’s Next?

With Plum joining the Sparks, Loyd replacing her in Vegas, and Seattle entering a rebuild, the WNBA landscape just shifted dramatically. Will the Sparks shock the league, or will the Aces and Liberty remain the teams to beat? Stay tuned for more updates as the season approaches!