Top 10 College Football Player Props for Conference Championship Weekend
This weekend’s conference championship games are loaded with excitement and plenty of betting opportunities. Below is an analysis of ten carefully selected player props, categorized by conference matchups.
Big 12: Iowa State vs. Arizona State
Cam Skattebo, O/U 119.5 Rushing Yards (-114/-114)
Skattebo faces Iowa State’s weak run defense, which ranks 96th nationally and has allowed a 100-yard rusher in four of its last six games. Skattebo has hit 20+ carries in most games this season, and in those games, he has surpassed 119.5 rushing yards six out of eight times.
Pick: Over 119.5 rushing yards.
Rocco Becht, O/U 235.5 Passing Yards (-115/-115)
Iowa State leans heavily on its passing game, and Becht has exceeded 235.5 passing yards in six of his last eight games. Arizona State’s defense has given up over 240 passing yards per game in recent weeks.
Pick: Over 235.5 passing yards.
SEC: Georgia vs. Texas
Quinn Ewers, O/U 238.5 Passing Yards (-117/-117)
Ewers has struggled to break the 238.5-yard mark this season, doing so in just four of 10 games. Against Georgia’s tough pass defense, which allows fewer than 200 yards per game, Ewers is unlikely to put up big numbers.
Pick: Under 238.5 passing yards.
Carson Beck, O/U 0.5 Interceptions (-148/+108)
Beck has thrown 12 interceptions this season, all during a six-game stretch in the middle of the year. Texas’ pressure-heavy defense should force him into at least one mistake.
Pick: Over 0.5 interceptions.
Dominic Lovett, O/U 52.5 Receiving Yards (-114/-114)
Lovett has struggled to surpass this mark, achieving it only three times in 12 games. Facing Texas’ No. 1 pass defense, he’s unlikely to see significant production.
Pick: Under 52.5 receiving yards.
Big Ten: Penn State vs. Oregon
Dillon Gabriel, O/U 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-114/-114)
Gabriel has thrown multiple touchdown passes in 10 of 12 games this season. Oregon’s passing offense should push Penn State into a shootout, giving Gabriel plenty of opportunities to hit pay dirt.
Pick: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns.
Tyler Warren, O/U 69.5 Receiving Yards (-117/-117)
Warren has been a reliable target for Penn State but struggled in big matchups, such as against Ohio State, when he tallied only 47 yards. Oregon’s defense will make it tough for him to exceed 69.5 yards.
Pick: Under 69.5 receiving yards.
ACC: Clemson vs. SMU
Phil Mafah, O/U 82.5 Rushing Yards (-114/-114)
Mafah has been inefficient in recent weeks, tallying just 66 yards in Clemson’s must-win game last week. SMU’s run defense, ranked fourth in the nation, will likely hold him well below this total.
Pick: Under 82.5 rushing yards.
Brashard Smith, 100+ Rushing Yards (+150)
Smith is SMU’s workhorse and has surpassed 100 rushing yards in six games this season. Clemson has struggled against top-tier running backs, making Smith a strong candidate to hit triple digits.
Pick: Over 100 rushing yards (+150).
Best Alternate Market Value Pick
Cam Skattebo 125+ Rushing Yards (+102)
For bettors seeking better odds, Skattebo has a strong chance to hit 125+ rushing yards, as he has done in five of the games where he had at least 20 carries. Iowa State’s defense is unlikely to slow him down.
Final Note
With careful consideration of matchups and recent performance trends, these props offer strong value for bettors looking to capitalize on conference championship weekend. Choose wisely, and enjoy the games!