NFL Week 13: Top Player Prop Bets
The NFL’s Week 13 slate features several intriguing matchups, making it an excellent opportunity for bettors to capitalize on player props. Whether you’re looking for steady performers or potential breakout stars, here’s a breakdown of the top 10 player prop bets.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Pat Freiermuth – Four-Plus Receptions (+194 at FanDuel)
Freiermuth has been a key outlet for the Steelers, hitting four receptions last week against the Browns and averaging that mark in his early-season games. With the Bengals likely forcing Pittsburgh into catch-up mode, Freiermuth could see an increased role in the passing attack. Cincinnati has been lenient against tight ends, making this a high-value play.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers
Bryce Young – Over 195.5 Passing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Young has quietly improved, surpassing 200 yards in two of his last four games. Facing a stout Tampa Bay run defense, Carolina will likely lean on Young to move the ball through the air. Given Tampa Bay’s tendency to allow passing yards while playing from ahead, the over looks promising.
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
Drake Maye – Over 220.5 Passing Yards (-115 at DraftKings)
Maye has shown the ability to air it out, posting strong numbers against tough defenses like the Rams and Dolphins. The Colts’ 27th-ranked pass defense has been vulnerable, allowing over 230 yards per game in recent weeks. With the Colts’ offense likely pushing the pace, Maye should have ample opportunity to hit the over.
Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints
Kyren Williams Props (FanDuel & DraftKings):
- Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts (-102): Williams has averaged nearly 19 carries per game this season, and against a Saints defense allowing 27.8 rush attempts per game at home, he’s poised for a heavy workload.
- Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-113): The Saints have allowed an alarming 163.2 rushing yards per game at home. Williams has exceeded 82.5 yards in three of five games with 20-plus carries.
- Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-113): Williams has not been a focal point in the passing game, with three targets total over the past two games. Bank on the under here.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
C.J. Stroud – Over 259.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM)
Stroud faces a Jacksonville defense that has been the league’s worst against the pass recently, allowing nearly 300 yards per game over the last three contests. Stroud has all the tools and weapons to exploit this matchup and bounce back with a big game.
Tank Dell Props (FanDuel):
- Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-113): Dell has been thriving alongside Nico Collins, surpassing this mark in consecutive games. Jacksonville’s defense has struggled mightily against secondary receivers, making Dell a strong candidate for the over.
- Over 4.5 Receptions (+130): The Jaguars are allowing 13.5 receptions per game to wide receivers. Dell’s role as a dynamic option in the Texans’ passing game makes this a value pick at plus money.
Nico Collins – Over 26.5 Longest Reception (-130 at BetMGM)
Collins has consistently hit big plays, with receptions of 28+ yards in all but one game. Jacksonville has surrendered 52 pass plays of 20+ yards this season, making Collins a strong candidate to hit the over.
Value Picks
- Tyreek Hill – Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings): Hill has been the NFL’s most consistent big-play threat this season, and he faces a Washington secondary that ranks in the bottom five in pass defense.
- Josh Allen – Over 1.5 Passing TDs (FanDuel): Allen has multiple passing touchdowns in three of his last four games and faces a Chargers defense susceptible to explosive passing plays.
- Javonte Williams – Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (DraftKings): Williams is trending upward and faces a Houston defense ranked in the bottom third against the run.
Conclusion
Week 13 offers a mix of high-value and safe bets for player props. Whether it’s banking on C.J. Stroud’s resurgence or trusting Kyren Williams’ heavy workload, these props provide diverse opportunities to enjoy Sunday’s action while maximizing your betting edge.