UFC 307: Preview, Props, Odds & Trends

Alex Pereira Defends Light Heavyweight Title Against Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC 307

Key Points:

• Alex Pereira makes his third defense of the UFC light heavyweight title.
• Khalil Rountree Jr. is on a five-fight winning streak, earning his first title shot.
• The co-main event features a women’s bantamweight title bout between Raquel Pennington and Julianna Peña.

UFC 307 promises an action-packed main event as reigning light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira faces off against Khalil Rountree Jr. The event begins at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday in Salt Lake City, with Pereira making his third title defense in just six months.

Pereira’s Dominance Continues

Alex Pereira (11-2 MMA), a 37-year-old Brazilian, has been on a tear in the light heavyweight division. He’s coming off two back-to-back knockout wins against former champions Jamahal Hill and Jiri Prochazka, having dispatched them in dominant fashion at UFC 300 and UFC 303, respectively.

Now, Pereira prepares to face the 34-year-old Khalil Rountree Jr. (14-5 MMA), a powerful striker from Los Angeles who has earned his shot at the title after five consecutive victories. In his last fight, Rountree delivered a decisive third-round TKO against Anthony Smith in December.

At the pre-fight press conference, Pereira expressed respect for Rountree, praising him for his skill and determination.

“Khalil is one of the top fighters in this division,” Pereira said. “He’s earned his place, and I’m grateful for the chance to face him.”

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Betting Odds and Public Opinion

Pereira enters the fight as a strong favorite, with betting lines reflecting his dominance. He’s listed at -470 on DraftKings and -520 on FanDuel, while Rountree is a sizable underdog at +360 and +350, respectively.

Interestingly, the most popular bet has been on Pereira winning by submission (+1600), while Rountree’s best chance is seen as a knockout or TKO (+500). Pereira’s overwhelming public support is also reflected at BetMGM, where 79% of the bets and 66% of the money back the champion.

Rountree’s Mindset: Overcoming Obstacles

As Rountree prepares for the biggest fight of his career, he remains calm and focused on what he can achieve. Speaking to the media, Rountree shared a motivational message about self-belief and overcoming internal barriers.

“Ask yourself, ‘What do you really want in life?’” Rountree said. “For me, it’s about getting out of my own way. I’ve overcome so much to be here, and I want this fight to be an example of what’s possible when you stop letting yourself hold you back.”

Co-Main Event: Pennington vs. Peña for the Women’s Bantamweight Title

The co-main event features an exciting women’s bantamweight title bout between current champion Raquel Pennington and former champ Julianna Peña. Pennington (16-8 MMA) claimed the vacant title earlier this year after Amanda Nunes’ retirement, defeating Mayra Bueno Silva at UFC 297.

Peña (11-5 MMA), known for her upset victory over Nunes in 2021, is eager to reclaim her spot at the top. Although their paths have crossed on The Ultimate Fighter, this will be the first time Pennington and Peña meet inside the Octagon.

The odds have been close, with Pennington opening as a -185 favorite, but public backing for Peña (+125) has narrowed the gap.

Other Main Card Fights to Watch

Ketlen Vieira vs. Kayla Harrison: Vieira, a longtime bantamweight contender, faces Harrison, a former PFL star, in a bout that could determine the next title challenger.

Roman Dolidze vs. Kevin Holland: Dolidze looks to continue his climb in the middleweight division, while Holland aims to build on his recent submission victory.

Jose Aldo vs. Mario Bautista: Aldo returns to the Octagon following a brief retirement, facing rising star Bautista, who is on a six-fight win streak.